I'm the Associate Director of Epoch, and research affiliate at MIT CSAIL. I work on the intersection of economics and computing, focusing on the technical and economic basis for AI automation. I further advise a few groups, such as the Center for Space Governance, the forecasting technology platform Metaculus, and MIT AI Alignment (MAIA).
Research
My research focuses on the economics of computing, AI automation, and big-picture trends in machine learning.
AI and Economic Impacts
Machine Learning and Computing
Parameter, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning
Jaime Sevilla, Pablo Villalobos, Juan Felipe Cerón, Matthew Burtell, Lennart Heim, Amogh B. Nanjajjar, Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Marius Hobbhahn, Jean-Stanislas Denain, and Owen Dudney
Securing America's Future A Framework for Critical Technology Assessment
Large multistakeholder report
Toward trustworthy AI development: mechanisms for supporting verifiable claims
Miles Brundage, Shahar Avin, Jasmine Wang, Haydn Belfield, Gretchen Krueger, Gillian Hadfield, Heidy Khlaaf, Jingying Yang, Helen Toner, Ruth Fong, Tegan Maharaj, Pang Wei Koh, Sara Hooker, Jade Leung, Andrew Trask, Emma Bluemke, Jonathan Lebensold, Cullen O'Keefe, Mark Koren, Théo Ryffel, JB Rubinovitz, Tamay Besiroglu, et al.
Forecasting
Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment
Thomas McAndrew, Allison Codi, Juan Cambeiro, Tamay Besiroglu, David Braun, Eva Chen, Luis Enrique Urtubey de Cesaris, Damon Luk
Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19
Jan M Brauner, Sören Mindermann, Mrinank Sharma, David Johnston, John Salvatier, Tomáš Gavenčiak, Anna B Stephenson, Gavin Leech, George Altman, Vladimir Mikulik, Alexander John Norman, Joshua Teperowski Monrad, Tamay Besiroglu, et al.
Media
- I debated the possibility of explosive economic growth from AI with economist Matt Clancy in Asterisk magazine
- My work on how compute, algorithms and data contributes to advances in AI was featured in the UK Government's report on the capabilities and risks from frontier AI
- My work on compute in Machine Learning was the first thing cited in Google's CEO Sundar Pichai's announcement of Bard
- My work and datasets on the long-run history of AI feature in Our World In Data's The brief history of artificial intelligence
- A Time article on the pace of progress in AI covered three of my papers on AI
- An article I co-authored was on data-usage in AI was discussed in The Atlantic, New Scientist, and MIT Technology Review
- I was on 5 Quick Questions with James Pethokoukis of the American Enterprise Institute
- The Economist’s June 2022 cover article on AI featured our work on compute trends in machine learning, as did their coverage on Large Language Models
- The Financial Times and VentureBeat covered our work on promoting trustworthy AI development
- The University of Cambridge's economics faculty wrote about me and my work on my COVID-19-related work